2026 global growth to be 3.1% under ‘limited’ Iran war: IMF

Assuming that the Iran war will have limited duration, intensity and scope, and the disruptions will fade by mid-2026, global growth is projected to be 3.1 per cent in 2026 and 3.2 per cent in 2027, according to the IMF’s World Economic Outlook.
Global headline inflation is expected to rise to 4.4 per cent in 2026 and decline to 3.7 per cent in 2027, marking upward revisions for both years.